Navigating Uncertainty with Key Insights from SG Analytics Private Equity Survey Report 2025
How global PE firms are adapting to macroeconomic volatility and technological disruption
Executive Summary
Strategic Context
In early 2025, global private equity (PE) firms stand at a strategic crossroads—armed with record-high capital reserves yet constrained by macroeconomic volatility and evolving LP expectations.
The SG Analytics Private Equity Survey Report 2025, based on proprietary primary research and validated through the EYQA® Narrative Toolkit, reveals how firms are navigating this uncertainty through capital discipline, AI integration, and future-focused value strategies.
Key Trends & Insights
- $2.1T in Dry Powder Signals Strategic Patience Global PE dry powder has reached an all-time high. Yet 90% of firms are taking a cautious "wait-and-see" stance—prioritizing bolt-on deals and tailwind sectors like AI infrastructure and renewables.
- Fundraising Downturn Spurs Digital Innovation With a 27% decline in U.S. PE fundraising (2023–2024), firms are adapting through 74% adoption of virtual roadshows, 65% leveraging AI-driven investor portals, and 87% enhancing LP transparency.
- AI/ML Shifts from Experimentation to Efficiency 95% of firms already report 30%+ efficiency gains from AI tools—especially in deal sourcing (83%), due diligence (81%), and portfolio ops (69%). Over 90% plan to increase AI investment in the next 12–18 months.
- Exit Strategies Realigned for Flexibility Amid valuation gaps and regulatory headwinds, secondary buyouts (78%) and management buyouts (67%) have emerged as preferred exit routes—displacing IPOs (down to 51%).
- The New Trinity: ESG, Tech, and Emerging Markets Small and mid-cap firms are realigning alpha strategies around ESG compliance (81% LP demand), operational tech upgrades, and expanding into emerging markets in Asia, LATAM, and Africa.
Strategic Implications
PE firms that balance capital discipline with digital agility, ESG leadership, and AI-driven decision-making are best positioned to not just survive—but lead—in the evolving investment landscape.
2025 PE Trends: A Strategic Deep Dive
1. Dry Powder & Strategic Patience
Global PE firms hold $2.1 trillion in dry powder—a record high. But capital deployment is slowing as firms brace for continued macroeconomic headwinds.
- 80% of GPs now allocate over 30% of their fund capital to dry powder
- 90% are prioritizing bolt-on acquisitions over platform deals
- Focus is shifting to sector-specific tailwinds like renewable energy and AI infrastructure
2. Fundraising in Turbulent Times
U.S. PE fundraising saw a sharp 27% decline, from $394.8B in 2023 to $287.3B in 2024. But firms are adapting with digital and relationship-centric strategies:
- 74% host virtual roadshows
- 65% use AI-powered investor platforms
- 87% increase transparency to maintain LP trust
- 72% rely on existing LPs rather than targeting new pools
3. The AI Revolution in Private Equity
AI/ML is becoming foundational—not optional—in deal-making and fund operations.
Top Use Cases:
- Deal sourcing: 83%
- Due diligence: 81%
- Portfolio operations: 69%
Top Tools:
- Predictive analytics (79%)
- NLP-based contract review (75%)
Responsible AI:
- 64% have implemented bias audits and explainability protocols>
- 52% have moved to low-carbon data centers
- Growing emphasis on data governance and ethics frameworks
4. Exit Strategies Reimagined
With public markets turbulent and regulatory scrutiny rising, PE exit routes are evolving:
Top exit channels in 2025:
- Secondary buyouts: 78%
- Management buyouts: 67%
- IPOs: down to 51%
Key challenges include valuation mismatches and cross-border regulatory friction. This shift underscores the need for flexible timelines and alternate liquidity paths.
5. The "New Trinity" for Value Creation
A new strategic triad is shaping investment decisions—especially for small and mid-cap funds:
- ESG: 81% of LPs now require ESG reporting
- Tech upgrades: AI is increasingly used for margin expansion and operational control
- Emerging markets: Viewed as untapped alpha, particularly in Asia, LATAM, and Africa
Methodology Transparency
Insights are based on primary research with senior executives from U.S.-based PE firms (General Partners, VPs, Portfolio Managers). Respondents represent AUMs of $200M–$1B, with 6+ years of experience. Data was anonymized and collected in full compliance with GDPR and internal research protocols.
Source Acknowledgement
All data and insights are derived from the 2025 Private Equity Survey Report by SG Analytics, reproduced here with full attribution and EYQA® certification.
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Research Attribution: This business narrative is based on primary research insights from the 2025 Private Equity Survey conducted by SG Analytics and validated by EYQA® under its VISTA Gold Tier Framework. All findings reflect reported responses from participating U.S.-based private equity professionals and are presented for informational purposes only.
Professional Use Only: This publication is intended for institutional and professional stakeholders. It does not constitute investment advice, performance guarantees, or recommendations. Observed practices and case examples are descriptive, not prescriptive.
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